https://threestarreport.com/ Three Star Report: Tennessee sports, with receipts. en-us https://threestarreport.com/posts/nsc-gap-settlement-0903/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/nsc-gap-settlement-0903/ On August 25 this site said Nashville's gap between results and expected goals would not survive. Through one more match it has widened, from 19.31 points to 20.77, and the per game figure is now the largest of 346 MLS team seasons. Twelve matches remain to settle it. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/preds-84-game-season-0903/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/preds-84-game-season-0903/ Two more games sounds like two more chances. It is not, because the playoff bar is a points total and it inflates by the same 84 over 82. Nashville's 86 points last season become 88, and the Western cutoff of 90 becomes 92.2. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/sale-run-support-0904/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/sale-run-support-0904/ Atlanta is 2-9 in Chris Sale starts when it scores two runs or fewer and 12-1 when it scores three or more. He starts against Philadelphia on Friday. On August 21 this site published that split as 1-9 and it has since moved by one game. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-opening-cliff-0903/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-opening-cliff-0903/ Tennessee's first three opponents average 98th in SP+. Its fourth is Texas, 6th. That 92 place step is the second steepest in the SEC. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-phillies-head-to-head-0902/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-phillies-head-to-head-0902/ Atlanta leads the National League East by four with 22 to play, and seven of Philadelphia's 22 are against Atlanta. That is the largest share of any chasing club in baseball. Split everything else and Philadelphia still has to win six of the seven. Wed, 02 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-ward-sack-attribution-0827/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-ward-sack-attribution-0827/ Cam Ward took 17 more sacks than a league average quarterback would have on the same 615 dropbacks. Nine trace to being pressured more often and eight to what he did once pressure arrived, and the split inverts on third and long. Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/nsc-results-vs-process-0825/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/nsc-results-vs-process-0825/ Nashville leads MLS with 49 points from 21 games. Expected goals put their season at 29.7 points, 14th in the league. The gap is the largest per game in MLS history. Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-fourth-down-arrival-0824/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-fourth-down-arrival-0824/ The Titans went for it at a league average rate and converted the obvious spots at a league average rate. Where they kept arriving at fourth down was not average. 4th longest and 4th deepest of 32. Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-schedule-shape-0823/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-schedule-shape-0823/ Tennessee draws the 14th toughest schedule of 16 SEC teams by average opponent SP+. Four of those opponents project in the national top 13. Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-sale-support-0821/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-sale-support-0821/ Friday's 2-1 loss made it 10 of 23 Chris Sale starts with two runs or fewer of support, and the Braves are 1-9 in those games despite a 5.0 run season average. Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-top5-offense-company-0821/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-top5-offense-company-0821/ Five teams project a top 5 SP+ offense for 2026. Four of them pair it with a defense ranked 9th or better. Tennessee's defense projects 44th. Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-ward-sack-teaser/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/titans-ward-sack-teaser/ Cam Ward's rookie season graded 27th of 27 qualifying quarterbacks in EPA per dropback. His 55 sacks erased 120.3 points of value, more than sacks cost any other quarterback in football. Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-twins-sweep-0819/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-twins-sweep-0819/ Minnesota swept the series 6-4, 4-1, 4-2 and outscored Atlanta 14-7 without the Braves ever holding a lead, play by play, across all three games. Wed, 19 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-twins-recap-0817/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-twins-recap-0817/ Atlanta lost 4-2 in Minneapolis despite a +115 run differential that ranks third in baseball, a 161 run gap over a Twins team sitting at -46. Tue, 18 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-sp-plus-split/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/vols-sp-plus-split/ SP+ has Tennessee 14th. The number is two very different teams averaged together. Tue, 18 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/iglesias-two-seasons/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/iglesias-two-seasons/ Raisel Iglesias has a 3.02 ERA and 24 saves this season, but since July 6 his ERA is 5.87 and all three of his blown saves live there, hidden behind a 1.53 ERA before it. Fri, 14 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/sale-run-support/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/sale-run-support/ The Braves score two runs or fewer in 25 percent of games this season, but that rate jumps to 41 percent in Chris Sale's 22 starts, even though his own run support average sits above the team's. Fri, 14 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-wrong-stat/ https://threestarreport.com/posts/braves-wrong-stat/ Dylan Lee leads MLB in holds with zero saves. A teardown of what the save column actually measures, built from all 387 Braves relief appearances. Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT